Clinical tool · CKD stages G3–G5

Kidney Failure Risk Calculator (KFRE).

This estimates the chance of needing dialysis or a transplant within the next 2 and 5 years, using the validated Tangri 4-variable equation. You need four things: age, sex, your eGFR, and your urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR). It's an estimate to discuss with a clinician — not a diagnosis.

Implements a published clinical formula — see citation. Maintained by TheHealthTools team. Not medical advice.

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How to read your result

The two percentages are the estimated probability that someone with your numbers would progress to treated kidney failure within 2 and 5 years. A common way to band the 5-year figure: under 5% is low, 5–15% is intermediate, 15–40% is high, and 40% or above is very high. Many kidney services use a threshold in this range to decide on referral, closer monitoring, or planning ahead for dialysis access — though the exact cut-offs differ from place to place.

Why albuminuria matters so much here

The reason this beats staging by eGFR alone is the ACR. Two people can sit at the same eGFR and face very different futures depending on how much albumin is leaking into their urine. The equation gives albuminuria a heavy weight, which is why entering an accurate, recent ACR matters as much as the eGFR.

What it doesn't tell you

It predicts kidney failure only — not heart disease or other outcomes that can matter just as much, especially for older adults. It's a population estimate, not a personal certainty, and the number can move as your blood pressure, blood sugar, and albuminuria are treated. Use it to frame a conversation with your doctor, not to draw conclusions on your own.

Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

It's a validated formula developed by Tangri and colleagues that estimates the chance an adult with chronic kidney disease will need dialysis or a transplant within 2 and 5 years. The common 4-variable version uses just four things: age, sex, eGFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR). It's used widely to decide who needs a nephrology referral and how closely to monitor.

For general education only — not medical advice or a diagnosis. The 4-variable KFRE is intended for adults with chronic kidney disease (roughly stages G3–G5). Reference: Tangri N, Stevens LA, Griffith J, et al. A predictive model for progression of chronic kidney disease to kidney failure. JAMA. 2011;305(15):1553-1559. Regional recalibrations exist (Tangri et al., JAMA. 2016).